, 1997) suggests in the Arctic region the cycle is associated with increased cooling and more winter-like conditions. b) Sediment grain size as a proxy for ocean current intensity. Although intense cooling is detected in Iceland lake sediments at 4. Despite the age-depth model imprecision of this proxy and both cores showing different peaks, the coincidence of the peaks with the DO periodicity appears clearly within dating error. Black bars: Periods with an apparent 180° phase shift in data periodicity. When discussing the cause of the 1500-year cycle we must take into account the nature and distribution of the proxies that display it. The cyclic increase in Arabian rare-earth element containing dust probably reflects an increase in northwesterlies strength, although a cyclic increase in aridity reflected in a higher dust production cannot be ruled out. The 1500-year cycle has undergone 8 oscillations in the past 11,700 years. That new events after such long attenuation periods still occur at the specified timing, without significant drift, strongly supports the existence of an external pacing control mechanism for DO events. A downward arrow marks the lack of correlation during the first half of the Holocene, while upward arrows suggest some correlation during the last 6000 years. The precision of this mechanism over time suggests an astronomical control.
Some of the peaks in the Bond series cannot be assigned to solar activity and could represent cooling from the 1500-year cycle. 7) The next peak effect of the 1500-year cycle is expected in about 160 years, and will provide a rare opportunity to clarify its causes and effects. Could Bond be wrong, Wanner be right, and still there be a manifestation of the 1500-yr DO cycle in the Holocene. Comparison of the 1500-year cycle with the Bond series of ice-drift activity in the North Atlantic further confirms the lack of effect during this period (figure 78, downward arrow). Power spectra for the Polar Circulation Index during the Holocene. What must we expect of a Holocene 1500-year cycle. The world is now 100 times more populated and, despite civilization advances, no less vulnerable to the effects of the changes described. f) Marine ice core sediment lightness (color) as a proxy for changes in North Atlantic deep-water circulation. Although these oceanic proxy records are all very consistent in displaying an in-phase 1500-year periodicity, they dont give a consistent temperature signal. Using the relative abundance of these chemical tracers, Mayewski et al. Furthermore, for the first 10,000 years (19-9 kyr BP) the increase in dust took place at mid-cycle, while for the last 8,000 years the mid-cycle showed a decrease in dust.
To check the time relationship between proxy records and the DO clock, I have projected the DO periodicity observed in the 15,000-11,000 year BP interval to the rest of the Holocene dating holocene sediments. The NW Pacific SST proxy and the Kuroshio Current subsurface temperature proxy display a warming signal at the specified DO periodicity, while the Southern Ocean proxy displays the opposite signal. , 2002), unlike most cold events of the Holocene, suggesting that the cold might have been accompanied by reduced precipitation.. There is no 1500-year solar cycle; the effect on subsurface waters takes place above the halocline, at 50-100 m depth, and even below sea ice during the glacial period. Further, the cycle can cause either cooling or warming depending on location and conditions. The discovery of the 1500-year glacial Dansgaard-Oechsger cycle (DO) in Greenland ice cores, started a quest to identify this cycle in Holocene records, where its absence was puzzling. Curiously this proxy also seems to present a 180° phase shift around 8000 years ago, as previously it was lower temperatures and not higher ones that coincided with the DO periodicity (figure 71 b, black bar). The results from their analysis are shown in figure 70. According to Rahmstorf (2003) the abrupt warming changes that started the Bølling period and the Holocene correspond to DO events 1 and 0 respectively, and they are separated by 3000 years (figure 69). Again, that is what is found, as the cycle tied to subsurface water temperatures is inverted between the Southern Ocean and the Northwest Pacific (compare figure 71 b & d). This phase shift is probably affecting the cycle periodicity determination, reported as 1450-year (Sirocko et al.
2 kyr event had a brutal impact on human societies, wiping out the most advanced civilizations at the time and changing the course of history dating holocene sediments. .